How high do you think bitcoin will go


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One of the most interesting things to note is how high your return estimate needs to be and how confident you need to be in order to take a sizable position in bitcoin. The inputs to the Black-Litterman model tell an interesting story in and of themselves.

DEARTH OF SUPPLY

The main inputs into the model are global market caps, asset volatility and the correlation between assets. It goes without saying that cryptocurrencies are risky. Other cryptocurrencies fared even worse. If an asset is volatile, and one is not able to diversify that volatility away, then investors will require a higher rate of return on that investment, otherwise they will choose not to invest.

Where Is the Cryptocurrency Industry Headed in ?

The fact that bitcoin is so volatile, but has such a small number of investors relative to stocks or bonds suggests that many investors still do not see the potential returns worth the risks. On the other hand, cryptocurrencies are at their core a new technology, and new technologies always have an adoption curve. The story here may be less about expected return versus risk and more about early adoption versus mass appeal. Below you can see that bitcoin has some correlation with both stocks and bonds, meaning that when stocks go up or down , bitcoin may do so as well.

The lower the correlation, the greater the diversification an asset provides to your portfolio. Bonds have a low correlation with stocks 1. Adam Grealish is the Director of Investing at Betterment , the largest independent online financial adviser in the U. Before joining Betterment, Adam was Vice President in the Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities division at Goldman Sachs, where he was responsible for structured corporate credit and macro credit trading.

The Most Liked Findings

Earlier in his career, Adam was part of the quantitative equity portfolio management team at New York Life Investments. Skip to header Skip to main content Skip to footer.


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$1 Per dSat = $1 Million Per Bitcoin

This all leads to one question: How much cryptocurrency should I own? Math to the rescue It goes without saying that this is a hard question to answer. Now add your views This is where the mathematical magic comes into play.


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How we got here The inputs to the Black-Litterman model tell an interesting story in and of themselves. Are You Gambling or Investing? This article was written by and presents the views of our contributing adviser, not the Kiplinger editorial staff. Since the start of the most recent rally, ostensibly begun in October, its value has increased fourfold.

Bitcoin was invented just 12 years ago as a new type of electronic payment system, built atop an Internet-based computing network that no single person, company or government could control.

Why Is Bitcoin Going Up, and Will It Crash Soon? What’s Next as Price Doubles to $40K

All this may have led to a tremendous rally over the past few months. But could bitcoin prices crash? Of course they could, several analysts told CoinDesk.

BITCOIN WILL NEVER GO DOWN! MOON! (not so fast). WATCH THIS FIRST TO BE PREPARED FOR WHAT'S COMING.

Below is a sampling of comments from cryptocurrency analysts and other financial experts on how a pullback might look, and what might cause it. Subscribe to , Subscribe. Demand from institutional buyers, many of them eyeing bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. Big asset managers including Tudor Investment and Guggenheim Partners have announced bitcoin purchases or wagered on prices using futures contracts on the Chicago-based CME exchange.

Even old-line Wall Street firms such as Morgan Stanley have weighed in with bullish pronouncements. The U. Images of protestors storming the U.

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