AFR Today, bitcoin is a perfect, year-old bubble.
Bitcoin Price Lacks Direction After Defense of $6, - CoinDesk
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The 2008 global meltdown and the birth of Bitcoin
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The family-run furniture company changing Australian design since After all, in a world with flexible prices, there is always an equilibrium where everyone believes the official fiat currency has no value—in which case it consequently has no value. Most government-issued fiat currencies appear to have stumbled into this fundamental equilibrium and stayed there.
Keynesians ignore these multiple equilibria, viewing the price level and thus the price of money as uniquely determined by history and updated gradually through a mechanism like the Phillips curve, which posits a stable and inverse relationship between unexpected inflation and unemployment. Regardless of which perspective one adopts, real-world hyperinflations—think of Weimar Germany or the recent cases of Venezuela and Zimbabwe—that effectively reduce the value of money to zero are examples not of nonfundamental equilibria, but rather of fundamental equilibria gone bad.
In these cases, money stocks exploded, and the price level responded accordingly. Private cryptocurrencies and public fiat currencies have the same infinite range of possible equilibria. The zero-price equilibrium is always a possibility, as is the unique, well-behaved fundamental equilibrium.
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Bitcoin clearly is exhibiting neither of these equilibria at the moment. What we have instead appears to be a variant of a nonfundamental explosive price equilibrium.
It is a variant because it must allow for bitcoin to make a possible, if unexpected, jump from its current explosive price trajectory to either the nice fundamental equilibrium or the not-so-nice zero-price scenario. This multiple-equilibrium perspective doubtless makes it appear risky to invest in intrinsically valueless assets like bitcoin and other private cryptocurrencies.
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Illiquid market: Who owns bitcoin? The real world is of course not constrained by the range of possible equilibria supported by the mainstream economic theory outlined here. But that makes bitcoin even riskier as an investment.
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But an exit by a single important player would likely have a similar impact in the opposite direction. In another post in early , Satoshi said that everything in the newly-built system is based on crypto proof instead of trust.
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Satoshi also expressed dissatisfaction that central banks and banks have repeatedly breached the trust of the people who deposit money with them by lending the money in credit bubbles while keeping very little as a reserve. The central bank must be trusted not to debase the currency, but the history of fiat currencies is full of breaches of that trust," Satoshi wrote. Also Read: What investors learnt from the crisis and how they coped with losses. A couple of months after floating the idea of this cryptocurrency, Satoshi created 50 Bitcoins with the very first transaction on the blockchain at hours on 3 January The message referred to a headline of a news article that appeared that day in The Times in the UK that talked about a second bailout for the banks.
Litecoin was among the first cryptcurrencies to come up in Ether or Ethereum, another popular one, came into existence in Also Read: Has the financial landscape in India changed over 10 years since the global meltdown? Satoshi wanted Bitcoin to be a currency, which could be used for peer-to-peer transactions without having to trust a third party like a central bank.
However, over the years, Bitcoin and some other popular cryptocurrencies have turned more into an asset rather than a currency.
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